Navigating the Cycles: Construction Post-COVID to 2024
Cycles and Planning In the Industry

As 2024 opens, I have seen a quietening down in the construction industry.
Our industry, like many others worldwide, experienced a significant boom during the initial phases of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, as the dust settles, the once roaring engines of construction seem to be quietening down, prompting industry stakeholders to reflect on historical boom and bust cycles and strategise for the future.
The COVID-19 Boom and the ‘Impact Lag’:
In the wake of the pandemic, the Australian construction industry witnessed a surge in activity driven by government stimulus packages, low-interest rates, and a robust housing market. ASIC’s annual corporate insolvency report issued in December 2023 however commented that the insolvency figures are revealing “the lag of the impact of Covid 19”, with the highest number of insolvencies in the construction industry at 28%.
However, we have also seen both substantial bankruptcies, as well as a surge of new businesses with new tradie/contractor utes and vans beautifully and proudly branded on most sites, capitalising on the higher rates offered during the boom and ‘going out on their own’. The Australian Bureau of Statistics reported 406,365 new business entries overall in 2023 alone.
Fast forward to the present, and the landscape has evolved. The once bustling construction sites now echo a quieter tone as the initial COVID-induced boom begins to wane. As construction projects wrap up, stimulus measures have changed, contractors are seeking a return to employment, and there is movement of talent, the industry is entering a phase of adjustment and recalibration.
It’s also the opportunity to review how we want our businesses to look this year, what changes we need or want to make, and who we want to take with us on the journey.
Understanding Boom and Bust Cycles:
The construction industry, known for its cyclical nature, has weathered boom and bust cycles throughout history. Understanding these cycles is crucial for industry participants to navigate the uncertainties and plan for sustainable growth.
Historically, construction booms often follow periods of economic growth, increased demand for housing, and infrastructure development. These periods are characterised by a flurry of construction activities, new contract businesses started, rising property values, and a surge in employment within the sector. However, as economic conditions fluctuate, construction enters a bust cycle, marked by a decline in demand, reduced investment, and a slowdown in project commencements.
‘Old Salts’ in the industry know and plan for this, but Covid 19 did throw curve balls that were new and difficult to manage. New talent to the industry (or new businesses in the industry) may not have experienced these cycles before though. I would suggest that it is crucial to engage trusted advisors to help you navigate the complex and changing environment and legislation we are all experiencing (of course, that includes us as your trusted recruitment advisors).
Industry Research Insights:
According to a report by Construction Forecasting Australia (CFA), the construction industry is projected to experience a moderate slowdown in the coming years. Factors such as rising cost of living, rising and high interest rates, rising construction costs, supply chain issues and costs, and evolving consumer preferences are expected to contribute to this deceleration.
The report emphasises the importance of agility and innovation, urging industry players to adapt to changing market dynamics. Companies that can pivot and align their services with emerging trends, such as how to attract and retain top talent, sustainable construction procedures, processers and practices and smart infrastructure, are likely to find new opportunities even in a subdued market.
Planning for the Future:
The Australian construction industry, having experienced the highs of the COVID-induced boom and the subsequent ‘Impact Lag’, is now poised for a period of adjustment. Given the inevitability of boom-and-bust cycles, understanding and preparing for the cyclical nature of the industry is paramount for sustained success. By diversifying, adopting financial prudence, embracing technology, and staying attuned to industry research, construction companies can not only weather the current slowdown but position themselves for future growth in the ever-changing landscape of the Australian construction sector.
This means we need to recalibrate. Top talent is moving as businesses are closing and the expectations and relationships between employer/employee are changing. Tradies who started their business in the boom period are now looking for more stability and less stress in employment. New generations are entering the industry, and older generations are existing, meaning we are experiencing a very complex mix of expectations and communication styles.
Our capability to deliver a strategic, adaptable, skilled, and efficient workforce, coupled with a commitment to cost-effectiveness and compliance adherence, significantly enhances construction projects and companies. This ensures the ability to navigate the industry's ever-changing demands, fostering optimal productivity and profitability.
Financial prudence is key. Establishing strong financial management practices during boom periods, such as managing debt levels and building cash reserves, provides a buffer during leaner times. Companies that heed this advice are better positioned to weather economic downturns without compromising the quality of their projects or risking insolvency.
Harnessing technology and innovation are also crucial aspects of planning for the future. Companies that invest in digital solutions, such as Building Information Modelling (BIM) and project management software, enhance efficiency, reduce costs, and remain competitive in a rapidly evolving industry.
Whether you opt to enhance your current practices or venture into new sectors, aligning values, fostering effective communication, and embracing sustainable growth practices lay the groundwork for sustained success. These measures establish a sturdy foundation for long-term prosperity, allowing you to navigate the complexities of the industry with confidence.
Research by industry experts underscores the importance of diversification and adaptability. Firms overly reliant on a single sector or geographic location may face heightened vulnerability during downturns. By diversifying into multiple sectors or markets, companies can mitigate risks and maintain a steadier workflow. I wrote recently about construction companies changing sectors and how to navigate this pathway. The article covers ‘Navigating the Next Generation of Workers’, ‘Choosing Clients Wisely, ‘Costs and changing the Race to the Bottom’ and the 7 key areas to ‘Manage Sustainable Growth’, and you can read more at:
“Builders: Time to Stay In Your Lane or Shift Sectors”.
Winding Up:
Thriving in the vast landscape of the Australian construction industry requires more than just seizing opportunities; it demands the presence of a capable team, meticulous client selection, adept contract management, and a strategic growth mindset.
As your journey unfolds and your horizons expand, leveraging the advantages of our services becomes a strategic choice that can propel your success and fortify your position in this dynamic sector. Opting for SiteForce Recruitment as your preferred partner in recruitment and labour-hire gives you invaluable collaborators, chosen by numerous players in the Australian construction industry.
Our capability to deliver a strategic, adaptable, skilled, and efficient workforce, coupled with a commitment to cost-effectiveness and compliance adherence, significantly enhances construction projects and companies. This ensures the ability to navigate the industry's ever-changing demands, fostering optimal productivity and profitability.
Our Superpower
Our leading 'superpower' is attracting and retaining quality team members who share our values of honesty, integrity, diligence, and service, allowing us to deploy quality team members on client sites quickly.
Our team member's superpower is being motivated, prepared and ready to enthusiastically contribute to the projects at hand, more than just a pair of hands.
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Read other informative articles for both employers and workers at: https://www.siteforcerecruitment.com.au/blogs
Chantal Penny is the Director with Superpowers of SiteForce Recruitment. A thought leader in the industry, Chantal, based on her expertise and industry perspective, offers unique guidance, inspiration, and influence in the industry. Chantal Penny is also a thought leader in the industry with her Podcast, Talent Instinct, which is available at:
https://talentinstinctpodcast.libsyn.com/site
At SiteForce Recruitment, we specialise in labour-hire and permanent recruitment in the construction industry. We are committed to valuing people, safety and wellbeing, collaboration, trust and, of course – results!
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